Dec 09

Exactly one month to the day from arriving in the Bay Area, I pulled in an hour ago to my driveway back home in Tempe. What a month! The pictures from the trip say more than I possibly could in a single blog post. I met a ton of wonderful people in the Bay and made some great connections for our company. Here’s some stats from the trip that are interesting:

  • total distance traveled = 2987 mi
  • gas consumed = 166.558 Gal
  • total trip expenses = $2078.32
  • # days on the road = 31
  • business cards collected = 32
  • unique beds/couches = 17 (including a garage floor ;-)
  • total spent on hotels = $124
  • total spent on parking fines = $170
  • # of Executive Summaries sent = 22
  • # of VC funding sources pitched = 7
  • value of the advice, visibility, contacts & goodwill generated for JumpBox = incalculable
  • All told the trip cost a hair over $2k (which was way under budget). I want to personally thank all the people that went out of their way to give me a meal, a pillow, a piece of advice or an introduction to a valuable contact – the trip would obviously not have worked without the generosity and hospitality offered by these people. In chronological order here are some people that get a shout-out:

    Christopher Birdsall – for a pit stop at the halfway point in LA
    Scott & Sarah Yancey – for their repeated hospitality and their spectacular rooftop office
    Ben Flajnik & Corey Marrs and their roommate Justin – for a comfy garage and access to do laundry ;-)
    Francine Hardaway – for a fantastic intro and access to her beautiful house in HMB
    Robert Scoble – for letting me be on his Podtech show as a guest
    Andrew Hyde – for being on our podcast and putting on a killer startup weekend in SF
    Tony Jeffries – for all the key intros and drinks at La Bodeguita
    Josh Margulies and his fiancee Liv – for an aerobed and many connections (congrats on your engagement!)
    Jen Margulies – for 2 critical intros (happy birthday!)
    Mark Fletcher – for meeting with me and sharing entrepreneurial advice and a helpful contact
    Jay Margulies – for critique on our exec summary and letting me partake in two family celebrations
    My brother Connor – for hooking me up with a place and fixing my Quickbooks issues (happy 30th!)
    The Carroll family – for allowing me to join the family on Thanksgiving away from home (RIP Pop Carroll)
    Jen Behan and her family – for round #2 of pumpkin pie and a warm home on a cold Thanksgiving night
    Tom Jackiewicz – for a thermarest and a stellar selection of connoisseur tequila
    Jasmine Antonick – a key intro to an important connector
    Debbia Landa and her crew – 2 intros to solid funding sources and a wonderful meal
    The Hamilton family in Newport Beach – for a crash pad and a family feast at the end of a long trip

    To these people my couch and home are yours anytime. More on some of the many things I learned on this trip in a later post. For now, I’m really looking forward to my own bed. Here’s a cool video I shot yesterday while driving back down the coast on Highway 1:

    And here’s what a month’s worth of receipts and business cards looks like ;-) G’night.

    SFtripgoodies.jpg

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    Dec 01

    What is PPA?

    Pay-per-action advertising is a model where the advertiser gets paid only when the visitor completes a specified action on the advertised site. This model has incredible potential for both parties because it circumvents the problem of click fraud (it can be setup so advertisers are paid only when sales are made). From the advertiser’s perspective, you’ll happily pay commission on sales that are made and it’s like having an outsourced affiliate program that you don’t have to manage yourself. From the publisher’s perspective, you can “rep” products that are relevant to your site’s content and (in theory) earn more than you could via adsense because the payouts are much higher. Google’s move into this space disrupts incumbents Commission Junction and which currently charge significant setup fees to get involved as an advertiser (Google charges no setup fees).

    Our experience with the Google beta

    The unfortunate reality of the current state of the PPA beta on Google is that it appears to be riddled with fraud. “But I thought you said you couldn’t get burned?” – let me explain. We signed up a few months ago and posted a handful of JumpBoxes in their directory offering a generous commission (over 30% for sales generated) to attract affiliates. We saw downloads skyrocket immediately but zero new conversions came from those new downloads. This probably should have been a red flag that the downloads were bogus, but we were still hopeful that it was just a matter of us adapting a landing page for better conversion and continued to run the PPA ads.

    About two weeks into it we had seen not one sale originate from the PPA ads- we weren’t losing money on them since the payout was still tied to a sale, but the spurious downloads were throwing off our conversion numbers and tainting our stats. The participants in the Adsense Referrals network (which is this program from the publisher’s side) have a rating system for advertisers and we were concerned that we’d be blacklisted because we hadn’t yet done any payouts so we changed the rewarded action from a sale to the completion of a lead form upon successful download. We dropped the commission significantly to $.50 and treated it as a pure lead generation program. Fortunately we had set the daily cap in adspend because immediately people took advantage of this change and filled out junk emails repeatedly to earn the $.50 payout. I was surprised with how quickly this abuse came. We promptly shut off the PPA ads and discontinued participation in the program – we only lost something like $30 altogether.

    Advice for Google

    This has got to be a tough problem to combat from Google’s perspective. Juggling both sides of the equation, they have to attract enough quality advertisers with desirable and discreet products that work in the affiliate scenario while at the same time keeping a high quality of publisher in the referral network so as not to alienate the advertisers. Opportunity for fraud abounds – from the advertiser side, there’s no surefire way to enforce that the payout actions are accurately tracked (ie. i could start with the tracking script on our checkout thank you page and then remove it or selectively serve it every fifth purchase to dilute the commissions we pay and nobody would be the wiser). On the side of publisher fraud, it’s easy to participate only in the referral programs where payout doesn’t require a sale and then surf through an anonymizer to emulate people completing those actions via your ads. Google’s system of ratings from publishers is clearly how they are screening advertisers but they don’t seem to have a good way to eliminate the shady publishers. I didn’t see the equivalent ratings system for advertisers to use for this purpose.

    Presumably the advice for now is to simply never pay commission on anything other than a sale- unfortunately that reduces the reach of this program to ecommerce sites only. My advice to Google though would be to disallow payment on actions other than sales to “cleanup the streets” in the near term and make it impossible for scammers to game the system. Once it’s economically unviable for them to make money there, they’ll leave and find another shady neighborhood to haunt. This whole thing oddly makes me wish there was an “Internet-wide Boys and Girls Club” to give fraudsters something positive to do- all that clicking just to earn $.50… you’d think there would be a HIT on the Amazon Mechanical Turk where they could legitimately earn more than that will less work…

    I hope they figure something out because I love the approach in general of yoking reward as directly as possible to performance. Having studied the negative extremes of this principle with the Learned Helplessness paradigm in school, the idea of tethering reward to successful efforts has appealed to me on a very fundamental level and beyond business. I don’t have a silver-bullet suggestion for Google on how to stamp out fraudulent activity. It’s a very knotted messy problem that could easily spiral out of control scaring away advertisers and creating negative press. Fortunately they have some of the brightest minds on it – having just had lunch on their campus earlier this week, I can attest that it felt like there were definitely more brain cells per capita at Google than any place I’ve been on Earth.

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